{"id":133,"date":"2026-05-21T05:07:34","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T05:07:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/homebuyerrelocation.com\/?p=133"},"modified":"2026-05-21T05:07:34","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T05:07:34","slug":"study-finds-no-evidence-of-citizens-taking-jobs-vacated-during-trump-deportations","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/homebuyerrelocation.com\/?p=133","title":{"rendered":"Study finds \u2018no evidence\u2019 of citizens taking jobs vacated during Trump deportations"},"content":{"rendered":"
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A recent study finds \u201cno evidence\u201d that native-born citizens have taken jobs abandoned by illegal immigrants during President Trump\u2019s pursuit of mass deportations.<\/p>\n

Read more Trump blasts Republicans for not firing the Senate parliamentarian<\/a><\/p>\n

University of Colorado Boulder economists Chloe East and Elizabeth Cox compared U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement arrest data with federal labor data from October 2023 through October 2025.<\/p>\n

They tracked a 4% decline in \u201clikely undocumented workers\u201d filling agricultural, construction and manufacturing jobs during the period. That includes a 5% decline among undocumented men, who make up 90% of ICE enforcement targets and a substantial share of those industries.<\/p>\n

At the same time, the study tallied 1.3% fewer U.S.-born men with no more than a high school education working in those industries.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe show no evidence of positive effects of the labor market outcomes of U.S.-born workers in immigrant-heavy industries,\u201d Ms. East and Ms. Cox wrote in the 33-page study.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf anything, these U.S.-born workers are harmed as a result, likely due to complementarities in production between the different jobs undocumented immigrants and U.S.-born workers typically take.\u201d<\/p>\n

Their study, published by the nonprofit National Bureau of Economic Research, offers the first national look at how the second Trump administration\u2019s mass deportation campaign has affected employment.<\/p>\n

The researchers included a control group of low-enforcement areas to screen out the labor impacts of tariffs, seasonal hiring trends and broader economic trends.<\/p>\n

The findings come as the Trump administration has repeatedly insisted that reducing illegal immigration will free up blue-collar jobs for native workers and force companies to pay better wages.<\/p>\n

Experts interviewed by The Washington Times said the study confirms regional reports that employers are instead automating jobs or waiting out the Trump team.<\/p>\n

\u201cImmigrant workers are not simply substitutes for native-born workers,\u201d said Ahmad Yakzan, an immigration attorney in Tampa, Florida. \u201cThey largely occupy different roles, fill labor gaps in sectors with persistent shortages, and often create downstream employment through consumer spending and supply chain participation.\u201d<\/p>\n

Andrellos Mitchell, a D.C. employment attorney, said blue-collar employers have long relied on migrants out of a bias against hiring Black workers.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe labor market is not a simple musical-chairs game where one immigrant leaves and one native-born worker automatically gets the job,\u201d Mr. Mitchell said. \u201cIf an employer never wanted to hire Black men before, the removal of immigrant workers does not magically create fair hiring.\u201d<\/p>\n

White House spokeswoman Abigail Jackson pushed back on the study in an emailed statement.<\/p>\n

She insisted that President Trump\u2019s executive order mandating a $100,000 fee for H1B worker visa applications has encouraged skilled professionals to enter the United States while discouraging companies \u201cfrom spamming the system and driving down wages.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read more Russia accused of plundering Ukraine\u2019s grain, coal and minerals in occupied territories<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cThe Trump administration continues to implement a commonsense agenda to accelerate economic growth and secure our borders, to help American workers,\u201d Ms. Jackson said.<\/p>\n

\u2019Chilling effect\u2019<\/strong><\/p>\n

Critics insist the Trump team\u2019s mass deportation efforts have scared off all migrant workers, harming the economy as a result.<\/p>\n

The study in the National Bureau of Economic Research estimated that six \u201clikely undocumented workers\u201d stopped showing up to work for every ICE arrest in high-enforcement areas. In comparison, 2.3 illegal aliens stopped working for each arrest made during the Obama administration\u2019s deportation efforts.<\/p>\n

\u201cThe chilling effect in Trump 2.0 is larger than in past mass deportation campaigns,\u201d Ms. East and Ms. Cox wrote in the paper.<\/p>\n

Renata Castro, a South Florida immigration attorney, said this finding confirms that fears of mass deportation create lasting shortages in menial roles that U.S. citizens \u201chave long rejected\u201d for themselves.<\/p>\n

\u201cMany of the occupations where immigrants are disproportionately concentrated typically pay low wages,\u201d Ms. Castro said.<\/p>\n

Some workforce experts nevertheless cautioned against interpreting the study\u2019s findings as an economic crisis.<\/p>\n

Rick Hermanns, CEO of the South Carolina-based staffing company HireQuest, said the Trump team has merely reversed a record immigration surge that flooded hospitality and food service jobs during the Biden administration.<\/p>\n

He noted that the Biden team\u2019s policies opened the floodgates to more workers than many employers needed during an era of historically low unemployment.<\/p>\n

\u201cWhat we\u2019re seeing now is a return to more normalized labor market patterns,\u201d Mr. Hermanns said.<\/p>\n

He added: \u201cNet immigration is lower, the broader economy has absorbed some of the excess labor supply from the last several years and staffing demand is beginning to track more traditionally with increases or decreases in unemployment.\u201d<\/p>\n

A 2024 study from the libertarian Cato Institute found that immigrants generated a $14.5 trillion fiscal surplus from 1994 to 2023. That study estimated that undocumented immigrants alone reduced the federal deficit by at least $1.7 trillion through payroll tax contributions for benefits they could not claim.<\/p>\n

Loren Locke, a business immigration attorney based in Atlanta, Georgia, said it\u2019s time for Congress to create a \u201cfunctional legal immigration system\u201d that helps employers \u201chire the workers they actually need.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cWe have employment-based visa categories that haven\u2019t been meaningfully updated in decades, and the result is a permanent shadow workforce that enforcement actions can disrupt but can\u2019t replace,\u201d said Ms. Locke, a former State Department consular officer who processed visa applications.<\/p>\n

Read more Aimee Bock led one of the largest frauds in history; she\u2019s blaming Minnesota for not stopping her<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A recent study finds “no evidence” that native-born citizens have taken jobs abandoned by illegal immigrants during President Trump’s pursuit of mass deportations.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":132,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[121,6],"tags":[122,123,39],"class_list":["post-133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-national","category-news","tag-chloe-east","tag-elizabeth-cox","tag-trump-administration"],"yoast_head":"\nStudy finds \u2018no evidence\u2019 of citizens taking jobs vacated during Trump deportations - Home Buyer Relocation<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/homebuyerrelocation.com\/?p=133\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Study finds \u2018no evidence\u2019 of citizens taking jobs vacated during Trump deportations - 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