{"id":3127,"date":"2026-06-30T15:39:24","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T15:39:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/homebuyerrelocation.com\/?p=3127"},"modified":"2026-06-30T15:39:24","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T15:39:24","slug":"talarico-paxton-deadlocked-in-new-poll-as-democrats-eye-historic-texas-senate-upset","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/homebuyerrelocation.com\/?p=3127","title":{"rendered":"Talarico, Paxton deadlocked in new poll as Democrats eye historic Texas Senate upset"},"content":{"rendered":"
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The pro-James Talarico forces are jumping on a new poll that shows him within striking distance of becoming the first Democrat to win a statewide race in Texas in more than 30 years.<\/p>\n

Read more Supreme Court shuts down Trump\u2019s attempt to change birthright citizenship<\/a><\/p>\n

A New York Times\/Siena College survey released Tuesday has Mr. Talarico and Republican Attorney General Ken Paxton deadlocked at 47% each in their high-profile contest for the U.S. Senate.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s an open-seat race to replace Sen. John Cornyn, who lost the GOP primary to Mr. Paxton after a bruising intraparty fight in which President Trump endorsed Mr. Paxton late in the game.<\/p>\n

The November election will decide whether Texas sends a Democrat to the Senate for the first time since 1988.<\/p>\n

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Democrats have been burned before in Texas.<\/p>\n

In 2018, Rep. Beto O\u2019Rourke came within 3 points of unseating Sen. Ted Cruz, only to fall short.<\/p>\n

Eight years later, they see another opening \u2014 fueled, they argue, by frustration with Mr. Trump, the economy and the personal and political baggage Mr. Paxton brings into the race.<\/p>\n

The poll gives Democrats some reason to believe it.<\/p>\n

Mr. Talarico, a representative in the Texas House, leads 61% to 29% among Hispanic voters \u2014 a notable shift from 2024, when Mr. Trump won 34% of them to Kamala Harris\u2019 46%, with the rest not voting or declining to say.<\/p>\n

A month before that 2024 presidential election, a New York Times\/Siena College poll showed Ms. Harris with a narrower 48% to 43% lead over Mr. Trump among Hispanic voters.<\/p>\n

Read more Supreme Court rules states can bar transgender athletes from girls\u2019 sports<\/a><\/p>\n

The new survey also showed 65% of likely Hispanic voters disapprove of the way Mr. Trump has handled immigration.<\/p>\n

Democrats hope that movement hints at a tough political climate for Republicans heading into the fall midterms, one that could help Mr. Talarico overcome a liberal record that Mr. Paxton and his allies say is out of step with Texas voters and better suited for deep-blue California.<\/p>\n

The survey also shows Mr. Talarico ahead 56% to 38% among women, while Mr. Paxton holds a similar advantage among men, 57% to 36%.<\/p>\n

Younger voters break heavily for Mr. Talarico \u2014 62% to 32% among those 18 to 29 \u2014 while older voters lean toward Mr. Paxton, 53% to 41% among those 65 and up.<\/p>\n

Independents favor Mr. Talarico by a wide margin, 58% to 31%.<\/p>\n

By race, Mr. Paxton leads 59% to 37% among White voters, while Mr. Talarico leads 80% to 13% among Black voters.<\/p>\n

Voters also split along education lines, with Mr. Paxton holding a firm 68% to 27% edge among White voters without a college degree.<\/p>\n

Read more Hegseth names Defense Policy Board members after dismissing previous advisory group<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The pro-James Talarico forces are jumping on a new poll that shows him within striking distance of becoming the first Democrat to win a statewide race in Texas in more than 30 years.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3126,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,7],"tags":[14,745,23,22],"class_list":["post-3127","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-politics","tag-donald-trump","tag-james-talarico","tag-ken-paxton","tag-texas"],"yoast_head":"\nTalarico, Paxton deadlocked in new poll as Democrats eye historic Texas Senate upset - Home Buyer Relocation<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/homebuyerrelocation.com\/?p=3127\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Talarico, Paxton deadlocked in new poll as Democrats eye historic Texas Senate upset - 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